The Numbers Game: Week 13 recap & standings

by Alana Klein

Highlights of the week
  • Nashville-Washington
    • Nashville continued doing Nashville things and Washington continued to implode. The Kats definitely look like league’s best — and most consistent — team.
  • Albany-Beaumont
    • Albany was basically playing their backups. Still, this game probably ended up closer than it needed to be. Albany continues to struggle on special teams, as they allowed multiple kickoffs to be returned for touchdowns for the second straight game.
  • Kentucky-Minnesota
    • Kentucky fielded an emergency squad and never really had a chance.

Into the record books
  • Minnesota became the 7th team in AF1 history to allow fewer than 10 points and also entered the top ten for largest margin of victory (52).

Stat of the Week
  • Nashville is the only team averaging over 60 points per game, as well the only team allowing less than 35.

Tiebreakers
  • Minnesota has clinched the head-to-head outright over Kentucky.

PLAYOFFS?! Don’t talk about playoffs! PLAYOFFS?! 

(These are not the final seeds, but rather the minimum seed clinched)

  • Albany: 2
  • Kentucky: 4
  • Minnesota: 5
  • Nashville: 2
  • Oceanside: eliminated

Best possible playoff seeding

  • Albany: 1
  • Beaumont: 6
  • Kentucky: 3
  • Michigan: 5
  • Minnesota: 3
  • Nashville: 1
  • Oceanside: e
  • Washington: 4
Standings
RankTeamWin %PPGH2H^
1y-Nashville Kats0.90061.64 
2y-Albany Firebirds0.81854.36
3x-Kentucky Barrels0.63642.80*
4x-Minnesota Monsters0.60040.20Kentucky
5Michigan Arsenal0.45544.36Washington
6Washington Wolfpack0.45534.73
7Beaumont Renegades0.30034.30Washington
8e-Oceanside Bombers0.10039.20
Oregon Lightning0.11122.89

x: playoff berth
y: 1st round bye
z: 1st round bye + home field advantage
e: eliminated

^ The head-to-head tiebreakers listed now only include those that are relevant to payoff seeding.
* This doesn’t factor in the 1 point Kentucky was awarded for the forfeiture win over Oregon.

NOTE: I use points per game instead of total points because there will not at any point in the season be a time when all teams have played the same number of games until the final whistle of the final game. Therefore, PPG is a more accurate indication of where teams would stand at this point in time instead of using the “Total Points” tiebreaker.

In the event of a tie between 3+ teams:

  • Compare head-to-head results in a round robin-style elimination.
  • Compare total points scored in a round robin-style elimination.
  • If a team can be seeded after a step, remove that team from the tiebreaker and (if there are still 3+ teams) start over with head-to-head, repeating the process until there are only 2 teams remaining.
  • Revert to 2-team tiebreaker rules.

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