The Numbers Game: Week 11 Recap

by Alana Klein

Highlights of the week
  • Oceanside-Beaumont
    • The Bombers just can’t seem to get over that hurdle for their 2nd win. Beaumont still has a chance to get in, but they have an absolutely brutal schedule to finish the season.
  • Albany-Nashville
    • Nashville won a thrilling shootout that saw a handful of AF1 records set. The Kats are in the driver’s seat for the #1 seed … but it’s not yet written in stone.
  • Kentucky-Washington
    • Kentucky misses a huge opportunity to enter the discussion for a first-round bye. The game was marred by a scuffle right at the half that was so bad that the league office got involved.
  • Michigan-Minnesota
    • Michigan puts up a hard-fought W as they keep up their push for the final playoff spot.

Into the record books
  • Nashville’s Kyle Kaplan tallied 24 points — the second-most points recorded by a kicker (26 by Henry Nell for Albany in 2025).
  • Malik Honeycutt had 3 kick return touchdowns, which I’m going to go out on a limb and say at least ties the AF1 record.
  • Albany @ Nashville far surpassed the previous record for combined points in a game (147) and Albany has the most points ever scored in a loss (69).

Stats of the Week
  • Nashville’s Kaplan had 13 deuces on the season coming into the weekend and recorded 6 more on Saturday.

Tiebreakers
  • Beaumont clinched the head-to-head tiebreaker outright over Oceanside.
  • Washington clinched the head-to-head tiebreaker outright over Kentucky.

PLAYOFFS?! Don’t talk about playoffs! PLAYOFFS?! 

* These are not the final seeds, but rather the minimum seed clinched

  • Albany: 3
  • Nashville: 4
  • Kentucky: 6
  • Oceanside: eliminated


Best possible playoff seeding

  • Albany: 1
  • Beaumont: 3
  • Kentucky: 1
  • Michigan: 4
  • Minnesota: 3
  • Nashville: 1
  • Oceanside: e
  • Washington: 3

Standings
RankTeamWin %PPGH2H
1x-Nashville Kats0.88959.78Michigan, Minnesota, Oceanside
2x-Albany Firebirds0.80053.20Beaumont, Kentucky, Minnesota,
Oceanside, Washington 
3x-Kentucky Barrels0.70046.67*Michigan, Nashville, Oceanside
4Minnesota Monsters0.55638.00Michigan, Oceanside
5Washington Wolfpack0.55635.11Kentucky, Oceanside
6Michigan Arsenal0.40042.40Albany
7Beaumont Renegades0.37534.38Oceanside, Washington
8e-Oceanside Bomebrs0.10039.20
Oregon Lightning0.11122.89

x: playoff berth
y: 1st round bye
z: 1st round bye + home field advantage
e: eliminated

* This doesn’t factor in the 1 point Kentucky was awarded for the forfeiture win over Oregon.

NOTE: I use points per game instead of total points because there will not at any point in the season be a time when all teams have played the same number of games until the final whistle of the final game. Therefore, PPG is a more accurate indication of where teams would stand at this point in time instead of using the “Total Points” tiebreaker.


# In the event of a tie between 3+ teams:

  • Compare head-to-head results in a round robin-style elimination.
  • Compare total points scored in a round robin-style elimination.
  • If a team can be seeded after a step, remove that team from the tiebreaker and (if there are still 3+ teams) start over with head-to-head, repeating the process until there are only 2 teams remaining.
  • Revert to 2-team tiebreaker rules.

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